The Biggest National Security Threat?
- December 3rd, 2019
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According to Zbigniew Brzezinski, the strategic theorist who was national security adviser to President Jimmy Carter in the during the years of the Iran hostage crisis and the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan in the late 1970s, warned that the most dangerous scenario for America would be a grand coalition of China and Russia. The alliance would be not only united not by ideology, but by complementary grievances against the hegemonic power of the United States. The latest ASPI special report, released just yesterday by Paul Dibb, examines Russian and Chinese concepts of great-power war in the 21st century, their views of the West and its military capabilities, as well the risks they might take to regain what they see as their lost territories in places such as Taiwan and Ukraine.
China and Russia are the two leading powers leagued together by their disdain for the West. The two now share an increasingly close relationship, especially militarily. If the China-Russia military partnership continues, it will inevitably undermine the international security order. Challenging the system of U.S. will lead in a classic security dilemma, that would end with lethal consequences.
-Eva W.
https://nationalinterest.org/blog/buzz/donald-trumps-greatest-national-security-threat-china-russia-alliance-100977
@jmann3
I think that you are mostly right. China and Russia have been historical enemies but I wouldn’t count on that to continue into the future. The largest question is who are the next leaders of Russia and China. If the next leader of Russia is willing to sell out their won country for personal gain then it is possible that Russia might go “quietly into the Night” and became a satellite of China. But if the next leader of china is less expansionist then Xi, Chine might have a very different approach to foreign policy.
“The enemy of my enemy is my friend.” Russia and China are, historically, enemies. Siberia used to be a Chinese province until the Russians took it away from them. While they may work together now to try to weaken the US, they both realize that any military buildup will eventually be used against each other. The only thing slowing their military advances is the US. When the world fails to realize that and forgets the territorial appetite of the Russians, it will fall (again). China is forging economic partnerships with its neighbors, while Putin is resorting to extortion. Russia is desperate, China is growing. Both will abandon the other when the time is right. Jim
This is extremely interesting. I would also like to add that if groups such as al-Qaeda or ISIS advance their tactics and begin to build nuclear weapons then they would arguably be the biggest threat to national security.